Arizona Senator Running Again After Being
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The 2022 Usa Senate election in Arizona will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the The states Senate to correspond the State of Arizona.
Incumbent Democrat Mark Kelly was elected in a 2020 special election with 51.2% of the vote and is running for reelection to a full term. Republican John McCain was reelected to his seat in 2016. McCain died on August 25, 2018; former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl was appointed to fill the seat. Kyl resigned at the end of the year and was replaced past erstwhile U.S. Representative Martha McSally, who lost to Kelly in a special ballot in 2020. Due to the very small margin by which Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden carried the state in 2020, the seat is considered one of the all-time possible Senate pickups for the Republicans in the 2022 ballot cycle.[1]
Primaries in Arizona are scheduled to take identify on August 2.
Democratic master [edit]
Candidates [edit]
Declared [edit]
- Mark Kelly, incumbent U.S. Senator (2020–nowadays)[two] [three]
Endorsements [edit]
Results [edit]
Republican primary [edit]
Candidates [edit]
Declared [edit]
- Marker Brnovich, Chaser full general of Arizona (2015–present)[14]
- Jim Lamon, solar ability man of affairs[15]
- Blake Masters, president of the Thiel Foundation and principal operating officer of Thiel Uppercase[16]
- Michael McGuire, Major General (ret.) and former Adjutant General of the Arizona National Guard[17]
- Justin Olson, member of the Arizona Corporation Commission[xviii]
Republican candidates [a]
Did not file [edit]
- Craig Brittain[19]
- Robert Paveza, software engineer[20]
Declined [edit]
- Andy Biggs, U.Due south. representative for Arizona's 5th congressional district (2017–present)[21] [22]
- Doug Ducey, Governor of Arizona (2015–present)[23]
- Paul Gosar, U.Due south. representative for Arizona's 4th congressional commune (2013–present) (running for re-election) [24]
- Kari Lake, one-time KSAZ-Goggle box news anchor (running for governor) [25]
- Jack McCain, veteran and son of sometime U.S. Senator John McCain[26]
- Daniel McCarthy, skincare visitor executive and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2020 (running for governor) [27]
- Kimberly Yee, country treasurer of Arizona (2019–present) (running for re-election) [28] [29]
- Kirk Adams, former chief of staff to Governor Doug Ducey (2015–2018) and quondam Speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives (2008–2011)[30]
- Kelli Ward, chair of the Arizona Republican Party (2019–present), former state senator (2012–2015) and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2018[31]
Endorsements [edit]
Blake Masters
- Executive branch officials
- David McIntosh, Manager of the Domestic Policy Council (1987–1988) and U.S. representative from Indiana'south 2d congressional district (1995–2001)[38]
- Robert C. O'Brien, former U.S. National Security Advisor (2019–2021)[39]
- U.S. Senators
- Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present) and 42nd Attorney General of Missouri (2017-2019)[40]
- U.S. Representatives
- Jim Banks, U.S. representative from Indiana's 3rd congressional district (2017–nowadays)[41]
- Madison Cawthorn, U.S. Representative from North Carolina's 11th congressional district (2021–present)[42]
- Marjorie Taylor Greene, U.S. Representative from Georgia's 14th congressional district (2021-present)[43]
- Individuals
- Tucker Carlson, host of Fob News' Tucker Carlson This evening, and conservative political commentator[44]
- Peter Thiel, venture capitalist[45]
- Abraham Hamadeh, candidate for Arizona Attorney General in 2022[46]
- Organizations
- Club for Growth[38]
- Republicans for National Renewal[47]
Justin Olson
- Organizations
- Stand for Wellness Freedom[48]
Polling [edit]
- Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(south) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Mark Brnovich | Jim Lamon | Blake Masters | Michael McGuire | Justin Olson | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cygnal (R)[A] | April 28–30, 2022 | – (LV) | – | nineteen% | 20% | 19% | seven% | two% | – | 33% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | April 25–28, 2022 | 1,064 (LV) | ± iii.0% | 24% | 25% | 19% | eight% | 3% | – | 21% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[B] | April 21–24, 2022 | – (LV) | – | 22% | 25% | sixteen% | 6% | – | – | 31% |
| Remington Research Grouping (R)[B] | April 5–6, 2022 | 1,126 (LV) | ± three.4% | 20% | 32% | 9% | 3% | 2% | – | 35% |
| OH Predictive Insights | Apr four–v, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.iv% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 6% | iii% | – | 45% |
| Information Orbital (R) | April 1–3, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 20% | 26% | 10% | vii% | 4% | – | 33% |
| HighGround Public Affairs (R) | March 26–27, 2022 | 264 (LV) | ± half-dozen.0% | 11% | 10% | six% | four% | – | viii% | 61% |
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[C] | March 13–14, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | fourteen% | fourteen% | xvi% | five% | 1% | – | 52% |
| Alloy Analytics (R)/J.Fifty. Partners (Great britain Conservative Party) | March ix–12, 2022 | 433 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 20% | 15% | xv% | 3% | one% | – | 45% |
| Information Orbital (R) | March 2022 | – (LV) | – | 23% | 17% | 14% | four% | v% | – | 37% |
| Information Orbital (R) | February 11–13, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± five.vii% | 22% | 17% | 15% | five% | v% | – | 37% |
| co/efficient (R) | Feb half dozen–8, 2022 | 755 (LV) | ± iii.six% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 3% | ane% | 11% | 44% |
| OH Predictive Insights | Jan xi–xiii, 2022 | 302 (RV) | ± 5.6% | 25% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 4% | – | 47% |
| OH Predictive Insights | November 1–8, 2021 | 252 (RV) | ± half dozen.2% | 27% | 5% | ix% | 12% | two% | – | 46% |
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[C] | October 26–28, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± three.5% | 26% | 4% | 14% | 2% | ii% | <one%[c] | 52% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R)[D] | September ix–12, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± iv.four% | 41% | 5% | 7% | four% | – | – | 43% |
| OH Predictive Insights | September 7–12, 2021 | 311 (RV) | ± 5.half-dozen% | 27% | 3% | vi% | fourteen% | – | – | 51% |
| Fabrizio Lee (R)[C] | August 4–8, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± three.five% | 29% | seven% | v% | 3% | – | <1%[d] | 56% |
| HighGround Public Diplomacy (R) | May three–5, 2021 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.nine% | 28% | – | 1% | i% | – | – | 61% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Engagement(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Kirk Adams | Andy Biggs | Mark Brnovich | Doug Ducey | Jim Lamon | Blake Masters | Michael McGuire | Justin Olson | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| co/efficient (R) | February 6–8, 2022 | 755 (LV) | ± 3.half dozen% | – | – | 14% | 13% | 11% | 11% | iii% | 1% | 9% | 38% |
| OH Predictive Insights | January 11–13, 2022 | 302 (RV) | ± 5.6% | – | – | 13% | 35% | 4% | 4% | ix% | two% | – | 34% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[Due east] | April 5–6, 2021 | 505 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | 46% | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 9% |
| OH Predictive Insights | March 8–12, 2021 | 690 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 2%[due east] | 27% | – | – | – | ii% | 3% | – | – | 67% |
| vi%[f] | 26% | – | – | – | ii% | ten% | – | – | 56% | ||||
| Data Orbital (R)[F] | February 17–19, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | 36% | – | – | one% | ane% | iii% | – | 4% | 53% |
Results [edit]
Libertarian master [edit]
Candidates [edit]
Declared [edit]
- Marc Victor, chaser and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012[49]
Results [edit]
Full general election [edit]
Predictions [edit]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Study[50] | Tossup | March 4, 2022 |
| Within Elections[51] | Tossup | Apr ane, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[52] | Tossup | March i, 2022 |
| Politico[53] | Tossup | April one, 2022 |
| RCP[54] | Tossup | February 24, 2022 |
| Play a trick on News[55] | Tossup | May 12, 2022 |
Polling [edit]
- Mark Kelly vs. Mark Brnovich
| Poll source | Date(south) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Mark Kelly (D) | Mark Brnovich (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information for Progress (D) | Jan 21–24, 2022 | 1,469 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | four% |
| OH Predictive Insights | September 7–12, 2021 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 39% | 18% |
| OH Predictive Insights | May iii–5, 2021 | 935 (RV) | ± iii.2% | 46% | 36% | eighteen% |
- Marker Kelly vs. Jim Lamon
| Poll source | Date(due south) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Mark Kelly (D) | Jim Lamon (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | September 7–12, 2021 | 882 (RV) | ± iii.three% | 43% | 36% | 21% |
- Mark Kelly vs. Blake Masters
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Mark Kelly (D) | Blake Masters (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | September 7–12, 2021 | 882 (RV) | ± three.3% | 44% | 35% | 21% |
- Mark Kelly vs. Michael McGuire
| Poll source | Date(due south) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of fault | Mark Kelly (D) | Michael McGuire (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | September 7–12, 2021 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 37% | 19% |
| OH Predictive Insights | May 3–5, 2021 | 935 (RV) | ± 3.ii% | 44% | 35% | 21% |
Hypothetical polling
- Mark Kelly vs. Andy Biggs
| Poll source | Engagement(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Mark Kelly (D) | Andy Biggs (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | May iii–5, 2021 | 935 (RV) | ± iii.ii% | 47% | 36% | eighteen% |
- Marker Kelly vs. Doug Ducey
| Poll source | Date(due south) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Marker Kelly (D) | Doug Ducey (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D) | Jan 21–24, 2022 | one,469 (LV) | ± 3.0% | l% | 47% | 4% |
- Mark Kelly vs. Kelli Ward
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Mark Kelly (D) | Kelli Ward (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | May iii–5, 2021 | 935 (RV) | ± three.2% | 47% | 36% | 18% |
- Mark Kelly vs. Kari Lake
| Poll source | Appointment(south) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of fault | Mark Kelly (D) | Kari Lake (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | May iii–five, 2021 | 935 (RV) | ± iii.2% | 46% | 35% | 19% |
- Mark Kelly vs. Jack McCain
| Poll source | Appointment(due south) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Mark Kelly (D) | Jack McCain (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | May iii–5, 2021 | 935 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 29% | 28% |
- Mark Kelly vs. Kimberly Yee
| Poll source | Engagement(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of mistake | Marking Kelly (D) | Kimberly Yee (R) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | May iii–v, 2021 | 935 (RV) | ± 3.ii% | 45% | 35% | 19% |
- Mark Kelly vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of mistake | Marker Kelly (D) | Generic Republican | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HighGround Public Affairs (R) | March 26–27, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± iv.9% | 45% | 41% | 2% | 22% |
| OH Predictive Insights | March 7–xv, 2022 | 753 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | 39% | – | 24% |
| OH Predictive Insights | January 11–13, 2022 | 855 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 38% | – | 19% |
| OH Predictive Insights | November ane–8, 2021 | 713 (RV) | ± 3.seven% | 40% | 39% | – | 21% |
See also [edit]
- 2022 United states Senate elections
- 2022 Us House of Representatives elections in Arizona
- 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election
Notes [edit]
- ^ The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise gratuitous to employ. This gallery should not exist construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is non included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j chiliad l g Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
Five – unclear - ^ Paveza with <1%
- ^ Paveza with <1%
- ^ Response without candidates' job titles, besides 'Major General' for McGuire
- ^ Response with candidates' job titles
- Partisan clients
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Kari Lake's entrada for governor
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Jim Lamon's campaign
- ^ a b c This poll was sponsored past Saving Arizona, which supports Blake Masters
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Advancing Arizona Forward, which supports Mark Brnovich
- ^ This poll was sponsored past Club for Growth Action
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Andy Biggs's campaign committee
References [edit]
- ^ "The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022". CNN.
- ^ "Statement of Candidacy Filing FEC-1473777". Federal Election Commission. Nov 25, 2020. Archived from the original on November 25, 2020.
- ^ "Kelly raises $4.four million for Senate re-ballot bid". Associated Press. Apr 8, 2021. Archived from the original on May xv, 2021. Retrieved May 15, 2021.
He'south [Mark Kelly'south] now seeking a full six-year term.
- ^ a b "We Are Republicans. In that location's Only Ane Way to Salvage Our Party From Pro-Trump Extremists". The New York Times. October 11, 2021.
- ^ "314 Action Fund Endorses Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly for Re-Ballot". 314 Action. June 29, 2021.
- ^ a b Bowman, Bridget (May xiii, 2021). "Campaign finance-focused PAC makes starting time 2022 Senate endorsements". Roll Call. Archived from the original on May 17, 2021. Retrieved June 12, 2021.
The grouping, known as Finish Citizens United and Permit America Vote, is endorsing Democratic Sens. Marker Kelly of Arizona, ...
- ^ "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org . Retrieved April 9, 2022.
- ^ "Jewish Dems Showtime 2022 Ballot Cycle With First Slate of Endorsements". www.jewishdems.org. Nov 30, 2021. Retrieved Dec 11, 2021.
- ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". world wide web.plannedparenthoodaction.org . Retrieved Dec 22, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Firm & Senate Endorsements".
- ^ "Anti-Trump Republicans endorsing vulnerable Democrats to prevent GOP takeover". The Hill. Oct 14, 2021.
- ^ "Endorsements". March On. Dec 6, 2021.
- ^ a b c "2022 Primary Election". Arizona Secretary of Country. Retrieved April 5, 2022.
- ^ "Arizona Chaser Full general Mark Brnovich launches Usa Senate entrada". The Arizona Commonwealth.
- ^ Sanchez, Yvonne. "Jim Lamon is the 1st Republican to enter Arizona'south 2022 Senate race". The Arizona Republic . Retrieved May three, 2021.
- ^ Steinhauser, Paul (July nine, 2021). "Thiel ally Blake Masters files for 2022 GOP Senate run in Arizona". Pull a fast one on Business concern. Archived from the original on July 9, 2021. Retrieved July 10, 2021.
- ^ Sanchez, Yvonne Wingett (June 8, 2021). "Michael McGuire enters Arizona's GOP United states Senate primary race; hopes to challenge Sen. Mark Kelly". Arizona Commonwealth . Retrieved June 8, 2021.
- ^ Sanchez, Yvonne Wingett (October thirteen, 2021). "Arizona utilities regulator Justin Olson enters GOP Senate race, slams Democrats' spending proposal equally 'socialist state'". Arizona Republic . Retrieved October 13, 2021.
- ^ "'Permit's go, Brandon' becomes a campaign slogan in Arizona Republican's new ad". Retrieved January 28, 2022.
- ^ "Statement of Candidacy Filing FEC-1498745". Federal Election Commission. Retrieved Feb 5, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-condition (link) - ^ Brufke, Juliegrace (March 2021). "Firm Freedom Conclave chair weighs Arizona Senate bid". The Colina . Retrieved March 1, 2021.
- ^ "News".
- ^ Sanchez, Yvonne (March 3, 2022). "'I have the job I want': Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey volition non run for the U.South. Senate in 2022". Arizona Mirror . Retrieved March three, 2022.
- ^ Gosar, Paul. "Gosar announces re-ballot". Twitter . Retrieved June i, 2021.
- ^ Valencia, Peter. "Kari Lake announces run for Arizona governor". AZFamily (KPHO-Telly/KTVK) . Retrieved June 1, 2021.
- ^ Sanchez, Yvonne Wingett (June 10, 2020). "Jack McCain, John McCain'due south son, has no 'immediate plans to run for part'". The Arizona Commonwealth . Retrieved May 24, 2021.
- ^ McCarthy, Daniel [@DemandDanielAZ] (December viii, 2020). "Jim, cheers! I am not a state Rep. Country Reps have signed it, but I am setting upward a run for Governor of Arizona. The source you republished got it incorrect. I'll be on the War Room with Owen Shroyer around 4:xxx ET to requite the latest" (Tweet). Retrieved January 15, 2020 – via Twitter.
- ^ Fischer, Howard (Jan 25, 2021). "Arizona Gov. Ducey: I Won't Run For U.S. Senate In 2022". 91.5 KJZZ Phoenix Radio . Retrieved Jan 25, 2021.
- ^ "Kimberly Yee announces run for Arizona governor". KNXV. May 17, 2021. Retrieved May 17, 2021.
- ^ Brufke, Juliegrace (March 1, 2021). "House Freedom Caucus chair weighs Arizona Senate bid". The Hill.
- ^ Roberts, Laurie (December 11, 2020). "Doug Ducey vs. Kelli Ward for the Senate in '22? That would exist epic. Only it won't happen". The Arizona Democracy . Retrieved Jan 7, 2021.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-condition (link) - ^ "Ric Grenell Endorses Jim Lamon - Jim Lamon for U.Southward. Senate AZ". Nov 29, 2021.
- ^ "CPAC Endorses Jim Lamon". world wide web.conservative.org. December 8, 2021. Retrieved December eleven, 2021.
- ^ @GeneralMcGuire (Feb 9, 2022). "The Goldwater family has deep roots on Arizona and ..." (Tweet) – via Twitter.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ https://twitter.com/GeneralMcGuire/status/1523785334055575552?s=twenty&t=SXEWKqHsnWSj9b2KmFcfKQ[ bare URL ]
- ^ https://twitter.com/GeneralMcGuire/status/1523791567814676480?s=20&t=SXEWKqHsnWSj9b2KmFcfKQ[ bare URL ]
- ^ Brnovich, Mark (April 29, 2022). "I'm proud to announce that I'm at present endorsed past BOTH the Chiliad.O.A.T @seanhannity and "the Great One" @marklevinshow. Thanks Sean for all your leadership & back up through the years. We're edifice a motility that will take dorsum the Senate for AZ and bring security to all Arizonans". Twitter.
- ^ a b Greenwood, Max (February iii, 2022). "Club for Growth endorses Blake Masters in Arizona Senate race". The Hill . Retrieved Feb half dozen, 2021.
- ^ Drucker, David M. (Oct 11, 2021). "Blake Masters picks up Trump alumnus endorsement in Arizona Senate bid". Washington Examiner . Retrieved October 14, 2021.
- ^ Isenstadt, Alex. "Hawley endorses Thiel-backed Arizona Senate candidate". POLITICO . Retrieved April 26, 2022.
- ^ Ackley, Kate; Bowman, Bridget; Akin, Stephanie (October 21, 2021). "At the Races: Quarterly clues". Roll Call. Archived from the original on October 22, 2021. Retrieved Oct 25, 2021.
- ^ @bgmasters (January 28, 2022). "The future is America First. I'm honored to be endorsed past @CawthornforNC, who securely understands this" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ @realteamMTG (May v, 2022). "BREAKING NEWS: MTG endorses @bgmasters for US Senate in Arizona "Blake Masters is the guy we need to stand for Arizona in the U.Due south. Senate. Transport Blake to Washington and together we will Relieve America and Terminate Communism!"" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ Bade, Rachael; Palmeri, Tara; Ross, Garrett; Okun, Eli (July 13, 2021). "Political leader Playbook PM: What is (and isn't) in the Dems' 'go-big' bill". Politician.
- ^ Isenstadt, Alex (April 26, 2021). "Peter Thiel makes $10M bet on associate in Arizona Senate race". Politico . Retrieved May 24, 2021.
- ^ https://twitter.com/AbrahamHamadeh/status/1517331453662535680?southward=20[ blank URL ]
- ^ "Republicans for National Renewal Endorses Blake Masters for U.S. Senate". December 20, 2021.
- ^ "Justin Olson for Arizona The states Senate | Stand for Health Freedom". March 25, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Primary Election Interested Candidates". apps.arizona.vote . Retrieved July 6, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Melt Political Report . Retrieved January xiv, 2021.
- ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato'southward Crystal Ball . Retrieved January 28, 2021.
- ^ "Arizona Senate Race 2022". Political leader. Apr 1, 2022.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RealClearPolitics. Jan x, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News . Retrieved May 12, 2022.
External links [edit]
- Official campaign websites
- Mark Brnovich (R) for Senate
- Marking Kelly (D) for Senate
- Jim Lamon (R) for Senate
- Blake Masters (R) for Senate
- Michael McGuire (R) for Senate
- Justin Olson (R) for Senate
- Robert Paveza (R) for Senate
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_United_States_Senate_election_in_Arizona#:~:text=The%202022%20United%20States%20Senate,represent%20the%20State%20of%20Arizona.&text=Incumbent%20Democrat%20Mark%20Kelly%20was,reelection%20to%20a%20full%20term.
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